Probabilistic Uncertainty Analysis


Probabilistic Uncertainty Analysis : Medicine. Technique that assigns a probability density function to each input parameter, then randomly selects values from each of the distributions and inserts them into the exposure equation. Repeated calculations produce a distribution of predicted values reflecting the combined impact of variability in each input to the calculation. Monte Carlo is a common type of probabilistic uncertainty analysis. [USEPA, 1997b: Exposure Factors Handbook]
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