Uncertainty Analysis


Uncertainty Analysis : (a) A process in which the sources of uncertainty in an estimate are identified, and an estimate made of the magnitude and direction of the resulting error. (1) Qualitative: utilizes descriptive methods; (2) Semi-Quantitative: uses simple mathematical techniques such as sensitivity analysis; (3) Quantitative: uses complex mathematical techniques such as Monte Carlo analysis. [AIHA, 2000: Risk Assessment Principles for the Industrial Hygienist]; (b) A detailed examination of the systematic and random errors of a measurement or estimate; an analytical process to provide information regarding the uncertainty. [SRA, 1999: Glossary of Risk Analysis Terms] [USDOE, 2000: RAIS Glossary]
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