Monte Carlo Procedure
Monte Carlo Procedure : A method that uses computer-generated pseudo-random numbers to make calculations with statistical distributions. In this study, Monte Carlo methods have been used to estimate statistical distributions that represent uncertainties in estimated quantities, such as source term release estimates. This approach contrasts with a deterministic approach in which a calculation is based upon point estimates of the various parameters and yields a single result. The Monte Carlo calculation carries the underlying uncertainty in the parameters forward and displays it in the magnitude of the distribution of results. A statistical risk management computer program, called Crystal Ball? (Decisioneering 1993) was used in this study for some of the uncertainty analyses
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